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Vol. XXVII No. 7 |
July 2008 |
POST-MONARCHY
POLITICS
IN NEPAL
The 240-year-old monarchy was
abolished in
Commenting on King Gyandera’s exit
The fall of monarchy, unthinkable a
couple of years ago, was greatly facilitated by Maoists success in the election
to the Constituent Assembly. They had vowed in their election campaign to
abolish it, even though other political parties were not as clearly committed
to go along with them, and there were among them reservations fearing a
political vacuum if the King was not there as head of state. To retain titular kingship
was according to them the best option to pre-empt mass disorder and political
uncertainty in the country. The Maoist electoral triumph set the pace for an
early end to one of the oldest monarchies still in place.
In the election concluded on 10 April
2008 the Communist Party of Nepal-Maoist (CPN-M) polled 3,145,519 votes
obtaining 36.60 per cent of the popular vote and securing 220 seats, while other
competitors trailed far behind; the Nepali Congress with 18.30 per cent votes
and 110 seats, and the Communist Party of Nepal Unified Marxist Leninist
(CPN-UML) with 17.97 per cent votes and 108 seats.(4)
The abolition of monarchy was an
epoch-making development in
The interim constitution, according
to critics, suffered from two handicaps. The provision for consensus decision
making in the CA was an impediment since the anti-Maoist faction in the House was
reluctant to let the Maoists lead the government expressing the fear that if the
Maoists were allowed to take over prime ministership it would be hard to
dislodge them for the next few years. The other limitation of the interim
constitution is that it does not recognise parties other than the Maoists and
the seven-party alliance, particularly the Tarai parties which have a sizeable
presence in the Constituent Assembly.
Monarchy until it was abolished in
May 2008 was an all-power institution in
The first democratically-elected
government, in particular the ruling Congress, miserably failed to give a good
account of its performance as its rule was marred from day one by corruption,
intrigue and constant factional tussle. After losing a vote of confidence in
the assembly the Congress prime minister advised the king to call for fresh
elections. The November 1994 election produced a hung parliament. The Congress paid
a heavy price for its in-fighting as the Communist Party bagging 88 seats
emerged as the single largest party while the Congress with 83 seats was pushed
to the second place.(6)
In November 1994 Nepal witnessed the unprecedented spectacle
of Communist Party coming to power; but it could manage to survive only for
seven months. Until October 2002 when King Gyandera assumed all executive powers,
a sort of musical chairs was played on the parliamentary scene for dumping the
prime ministers. From 1990 to 2002 nine prime ministers rose to power and
disappeared without king’s intervention. However, King Gyandera, who had
ascended the throne following the mass killing of the entire royal family in
June 2001, had different ideas about how to deal with political parties and
democratic forces. From 2002 onwards the king appointed three prime ministers
one after the other. He had made his intention quite clear.(7) He wished to call the shots
all by himself and use the unpalatable politicians as pawns in his grand
design. However, to accuse the king exclusively for subverting the political
process was a one-sided view of what went wrong with the return of multiparty
democracy. The opportunity to act arbitrarily was offered to the king by the
feuding politicians obsessed with greed for personal power. They could not run
a single party government full term, nor could they stick together to manage a
durable coalition. Ironically, of the 12 governments in
The king took the ultimate step in
winding up the infantile democratic order when he on
While the politicians had made peace
with the king in the aftermath of the 1990 compromise constitution,
In the wake of failure to contain the
Maoist insurgency there was growing pressure on the government to open talks
with the insurgents. Efforts were made in mid-2001 to negotiate a truce which
lasted only four months. The Maoist agenda for talks with the government
included three demands: (i) Abolition of monarchy, (ii) setting up an interim
government, and (iii) holding election for a constituent assembly. As the talks
came to nothing, Maoists were back in business and the government decided to
launch a do-or-die military operation against their hideouts, which eventually
could do no better than creating a stalemate. The next dramatic development in
the Maoist strategy was to enter popular agitation along with other political
parties for the overthrow of King Gyandera’s regime which paved the way for
their getting closer to the pro-democracy forces in
King Gyandera managed to hold the
fort for less than a year, when the gathering storm of popular unrest burst
into a deluge unparalleled in the history of mass upsurge in Nepal.(10) A qualitatively different feature of
this agitation was the Maoist participation in a mass political action which
according to critics played a crucial role in the success of the popular
movement. However, the Maoists did not formally renounce armed struggle as the
means of seizing political power, not did they join the mainstream agitation
led by the seven-party alliance but they worked in tandem with the
pro-democracy forces. Another key feature was the king’s total isolation at
home and abroad. Although in western quarters there were reservations about the
Maoists joining the anti-king agitation there was no word of support or
sympathy for the beleaguered king who could not sell the anti-Maoist card to
the Americans and their allies. The anti-King mass agitation formally led by
the seven-party alliances under the leadership of the Nepali Congress was
widely seen as having India’s backing, but countries like China or Pakistan did
not deem it appropriate to distance themselves from the anti-King forces. After
three weeks of mass disturbance the king got cold feet and swallowing his pride
he restored the parliament that he had dissolved three years ago to arrogate to
himself arbitrary powers to rule by decree.
From insurgency to electoral politics Top
As the king was marginalised and
turned into a virtual prisoner in his own palace and the army accepted the
changeover to constitutional rule as fait accompli the focus of attention
shifted to how the Maoists would respond to the emerging situation. The
Congress-led seven party alliance that had come to power opened negotiations
with the Maoists which paved the way for a “historic” peace accord. The Maoists
not only joined the interim government but were also signatories to the 2007
interim constitution. The entry of the Maoists into mainstream parliamentary
politics in
The twice-postponed polls were
finally held on
Since the major parties had already
agreed to project a republican, federal system, abolition of monarchy did not
figure in the election campaign as a ‘bone of contention’. However, the CPM
(UML) called for a “prime ministerial system,” under which it proposed that the
prime minister should be a directly elected by the electorate, while the Tarai
Democratic Party (TDP) proposed the formation of a “single Tarai province
stretching from Jhapa to Kanchanpur with several autonomous governing units
within it.”(13)
On the polling day,
Of the major political parties CPN
(Maoists) topped the list of successful candidates with 220 seats and 36 per
cent of the votes polled, of which 100 seats were won through proportional representation.
They were followed by the Nepali Congress which won 110 seats (37 direct and 73
through PR) and 18.30 per cent of the popular vote, CPN (UML) 103 seats (33
direct plus 73 through PR) and 17.1 per cent of the vote, Madhesi Jana Adhikar Forum
52 seats (30 direct plus 22 through PR) and 8.65 per cent of voter, Tarai Madhesh
Loktantrik Party 20 seats (9 plus 11) and 3.33 per cent vote. It was indeed a
fragmented assembly with no single party managing to secure even 40 per cent of
the seats. Two of the three principal parties could coalesce to have a simple
majority, but that was enough for a two-thirds majority required if there was
no consensus. The Maoist electoral triumph was spectacular. No one had imagined
a guerrilla outfit turned parliamentary party could do as well as it did in the
first election, while the performance of the Nepali Congress which had claimed
to speak for all Nepalis was disappointing. Another rising star on the
political horizon were the champions of the ‘Tarai’s autonomy’ with 72 seats
overwhelming all other political forces in the region.
Summary
of the 10 April 2008
Nepalese Constituent Assembly election results
|
Party |
FPTP |
Proportional |
Seats |
|||||||
|
Votes |
% |
+/–%— |
Votes |
% |
FPTP |
Prop. |
Nom. |
Total |
% |
|
|
3,145,519 |
30.52 |
|
3,144,204 |
29.28 |
120 |
100 |
9 |
229 |
38.10 |
|
|
2,348,890 |
22.79 |
–14.50 |
2,269,883 |
21.14 |
37 |
73 |
5 |
115 |
19.13 |
|
|
2,229,064 |
21.63 |
–16.62 |
2,183,370 |
20.33 |
33 |
70 |
5 |
108 |
17.97 |
|
|
634,154 |
6.15 |
|
678,327 |
6.32 |
30 |
22 |
2 |
54 |
8.98 |
|
|
345,587 |
3.35 |
|
338,930 |
3.16 |
9 |
11 |
1 |
21 |
3.49 |
|
|
310,214 |
3.01 |
–10.84 |
263,431 |
2.45 |
0 |
8 |
— |
8 |
1.33 |
|
|
168,196 |
1.63 |
|
243,545 |
2.27 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
9 |
1.50 |
|
|
174,086 |
1.69 |
|
167,517 |
1.56 |
4 |
5 |
— |
9 |
1.50 |
|
|
136,846 |
1.33 |
–0.89 |
164,381 |
1.53 |
2 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
1.33 |
|
|
39,100 |
0.38 |
|
154,968 |
1.44 |
0 |
5 |
— |
5 |
0.83 |
|
|
76,684 |
0.74 |
|
110,519 |
1.03 |
0 |
4 |
— |
4 |
0.50 |
|
|
93,578 |
0.91 |
|
106,224 |
0.99 |
1 |
3 |
— |
4 |
0.66 |
|
|
79,925 |
0.77 |
|
102,147 |
0.95 |
0 |
3 |
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